Who's Worth What?
With the trade deadline just around the corner, I decided to take a look at what certain Leafs would be worth at the deadline. Now I didn't cover all of the players because some of them will obviously not be dealt at the deadline (i.e. Kessel, Schenn, Phaneuf, etc.) and then there's the other group that is worth pretty much nothing or less, yes less (i.e. Lebda, Orr, etc.)
Now before you bash this blog, calling me crazy, understand that I'm not saying that this is what these Leafs will be traded for or that all of these Leafs will be traded. I didn't pull this stuff out of a hat, I actually went back to look at deadline deals over the last couple of years to take a look at some of the players that were dealt for picks.
For example, here are some of the few:
In 2009, Olli Jokinen (30 years old at the time) was traded to the Calgary Flames along with a 3rd round pick from the Coyotes in exchange for Matthew Lombardi, Brandon Prust and a 1st round pick. Before the trade, Jokinen had racked up 21 goals and 21 assists for 42 points in 57 games.
In 2010, the Canadiens acquired Dominic Moore (29 at the time) from the Panthers for a 2nd round pick. Moore had 17 points in 48 games before being dealt.
In 2010, the Penguins acquired Jordan Leopold (29 at the time) from the Panthers for a 2nd round pick. Leopold had 18 points in 61 games before being dealt.
In 2010, the Senators acquired Andy Sutton (34 at the time) from the Islanders for a 2nd round pick. Sutton had 12 points in 54 games before being dealt.
In 2010, the Capitals acquired Eric Belanger (32 at the time) from the Wild in exchange for a 2nd round pick. Belanger had 13 goals and 22 assists for 45 points in 60 games.
So given those examples, plus a lot more that I used, I came up with what certain Leafs would be worth on the open market. So let's start:
At this year's deadline, Kaberle will be 2 days away from turning 33 years old. Kaberle started the season very well and it's been up and down since then. But Kaberle is quietly putting up another 50 point season, which he has done consistently throughout his career.
He currently has 29 points and given his pace, he should be at 43 points by the time the deadline rolls around. Yes, that's 43 points with about 20 games left in the season. Of course he has the ultimate say, given his NTC, but should he waive it the Leafs could get a nice return given his offensive output and experience. Kaberle is in the final year of his contract and will be a UFA at season's end.
Value: 1st Round Pick + 2nd Round Pick
Bozak has been one of the Leafs' biggest disappointments this season. He was expected to be the Leafs' top center. He was demoted early in the season, but has managed to find his way back on the line with Kessel, which has improved his offense recently.
At 24 years old, Bozak currently has 7 goals and 11 assists. By the deadline, given his pace, he should have about 26 points. Bozak is in the final year of his contract and will be an RFA at season's end.
Value: 3rd Round Pick
The 2010-2011 has been a different year for Grabovski. After many fans, myself included wanted him off the team, he has left most of us in shock. Grabovski was acquired back in 2008 from the Canadiens for a 2nd Round Pick and Greg Pateryn.
At 26 years old, Grabovski currently has 17 goals and 17 assists. He should be at 25 goals and 50 points by the deadline given his current pace. Grabovski has one more year left on his contract, he will be a UFA at the end of next season.
Value: 1st Round Pick
One of the biggest surprises this season and also one of the best free agent signings of the summer, Clarke MacArthur is having a career year. While career years are approached with caution by many GM's, the fact that MacArthur is only 25 will play a factor. Given that he could have 30 goals by season's end, he should draw interest at the deadline.
He currently has 14 goals and 22 assists and should be at 53 points by the deadline given his current pace. He is currently on pace to finish the season with 68 points. MacArthur's contract expires at the end of this season, but he will be an RFA.
Value: 1st Round Pick
Beauchemin's time in Toronto has been a big disappointment. His offensive output has been no where near where it needed to be and he's also made a lot more mistakes than the Leafs would have liked.
At 30 years old, Beauchemin currently has 10 points and should be at 15 points by the deadline given this pace. Beauchemin does however bring experience to the table and also a Stanley Cup ring. He still has one year left on his current deal and will be a UFA at the end of next season.
Value: Late 2nd Round Pick
Versteeg who came out of the gate really slowly this season has really impressed as of late. He has been great on the powerplay, racking up 13 points so far this season.
At 24 years old, Versteeg has an overall stat line of 12 goals and 19 assists. He is on pace to be at 46 points by the deadline. He has one year left on his contract and will be an RFA at the end of next season.
Value: 2nd Round Pick + 3rd Round Pick
This is one that I simply don't know. The goaltender market is very difficult to gauge. Giguere is on the final year of his contract, but is not having a good season. His experience (Conn Smythe winner and Stanley Cup ring) might draw some interest, but the amount of money he is being paid this season might equally deter potential suitors.
Value: Not worth just a pick. In order for the Leafs to get a pick, they would probably have to take back some salary.
So as you can see, there is some great value on the Leafs right now. With that said, unfortunately Burke is not someone to do this. He's not going to blow it up at the deadline and that truly is unfortunate.
You'll probably see a couple of these players dealt, but it might not even be for picks. Burke wants other players, so we'll see what happens. The Panthers picked three times in the 1st round at the 2010 draft, it would be nice to have a GM like that.
Thanks for reading,